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"Disaggregated COT, Commodity Index Traders and Traders in Financial Futures COT!"

Our Trading Systems


Using our online tools and data, members learn how to do the following and much much more!

  • Learn to anticipate future turning points before they happen using statistical COT measures and price patterns.
     

  • Track large speculator (fund) activity to determine when markets are vulnerable for a sell-off or a rally.
    For example, we know markets are more vulnerable for a sell-off when a great deal of speculative longs are in the market.  We call this a "wound up spec long position".  This scenario indicates large speculators are holding profits on a large net-long position.  They are very exposed at this point.  If the market simply experiences a small hiccup, a great deal of their profits can evaporate.  Think about it.  If you are long a market and adding to positions as prices move higher and higher, you essentially continue to double up with the trend. At the extreme high you will be very vulnerable.  A small counter-trend move (down) can quickly wipe out your profits.  At this point in time you become more nervous and aware of the risk.  Your finger is on the Sell Button!   This is precisely what we monitor and look for using the COT data!   And it works the same and just as well in reverse.  When large speculators are holding a large short position, they can become overexposed in this side as well.  A small bounce can wipe out a significant portion of their profits and they become very aware and nervous about this.  Thus, the market becomes more "vulnerable" to short-covering, and that is FUEL for a RALLY!    
     

  • Spot divergence in large speculator positioning versus price.  We've seen this time and time again.  Large speculators are the "smart traders"!  They often begin exiting bull or bear markets BEFORE a major top or bottom is formed.
    Many new traders make the mistake of thinking the commercials are the "smart traders", but they are not.  The commercials are hedgers in the physical markets.   They do have greater access to the underlying fundamentals, and that's why we also pay very close attention to their hedging activities.  But they are not speculating in the way that the large traders (funds) are.  We must get into the minds of both participants (speculators and physical hedgers) to gauge market vulnerabilities and longer-term price direction.  Traders learn these tactics here!
     

We provide access to the following 4 systems and trading methodology:

  • IMPA Position Trading System - Off Floor longer-term futures trading system.

  • IMPA Fading System - Off Floor longer-term futures trading system.

  • Swing Trade A - Off Floor Intermediate trend trading system.

  • Swing Trade B - Off Floor Intermediate counter-trend trading system.

All of the trading systems and indicators include methods and specific strategies for containing risk, managing profits and managing losses, thus in the long run effectively maximizing our returns.

What you need to know:

Our systems are different than any other known. We combine fundamental data, unique statistical studies and proprietary technical indicators in a very unique fashion that produces consistent reliable results.

To effectively trade the market's you must find a good system and learn it. Successful commodity trading on a consistent basis is in fact, very hard work. Any business takes time to learn, trading is no different. Tracking the markets requires much more than just tracking price or price patterns. One must also track and understand the participants, always aware of who is holding the majority of longs and shorts in each market. This is the basis of our IMPA systems; it is the core of how these systems evaluate the fundamentals of supply and demand in each market. It is also a crucial factor of our statistical evaluation in each market.

All of our systems also include specific (documented) management programs (rules and methods) that include:

Pre-defined (initial) stops (before entry) - Documentation is provided on how these are established.

Adjustable (established) trailing stops (post entry) - The trailing stops methodology is the engine that drives our profits. This is how we are able to accumulate large profits over time. These stops are designed to capture trends, and they do so whilst containing risk.  These are discussed fully.

50% rule or rule of the 3rds - This rule (or method) enables the trader to capture a portion of their profits (in a profitable position) early in the trade or "mid-stream" while retaining a portion of the original position. This is critical in position management. One of the basic mistakes often made by those new at trading is that they tend to take profits way to early and take losses way to late. Using our systems and methods, members are able to hold profitable positions so that they can grow, while protecting profits at the same time and reducing risk exposure. In addition, members learn to dump losing positions using pre-determined (logical) stops. We reinforce these strategies (particularly our management strategies) in the daily reports.

When we take our 50% profit, we typically adjust our stops to breakeven or better on our remaining 50%. This strategy helps prevent good trades from turning bad and substantially reduces our exposure to risk.

Our philosophy is that we are "Risk Takers". Our job is to take calculated risks based on the data. There are times when the market is very likely (has a high probability) to move in a particular direction. Our tools help us identify these times so that we can take advantage of them. We manage our risks tightly and appropriately, and as a result, many traders do very well with our systems and position management methods. They tend to profit (when they follow the program and methods).

Adjustable trailing stops on 50% (post initial 50% profit)

* We do not use profit objectives on our remaining 50% but may use objectives
on our initial 50%.
  We use our proprietary trailing stops methodology to manage our remaining 50%, thus letting the market tell us when the move has ended (versus us trying to predict the end of a trend). 

To help you get started, we have broken down the essentials of our trading systems.

1. IMPA Information
2. Swing Trading Information

Disclosure

Pessimism never won any battle.   - Dwight D. Eisenhower
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